Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting survival in patients with acute pancreatitis

Xiao-guang Zhu, Jia-mei Jiang, Yong-xia Li, Jing Gao, Wei Wu, Qi-ming Feng

Table 1. Multivariate analysis of predictors of 90-day mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis

Variables Univariate regression Multivariate Cox regression HR, 95% CI P-value HR, 95% CI P-value Age, years 1.09, 1.07-1.12 <0.001 1.06, 1.03-1.08 <0.001 WBC, ×109/L 1.08, 1.05-1.12 <0.001 1.03, 1.00-1.06 0.046 Creatinine, mg/dL 1.52, 1.32-1.74 <0.001 BUN, mg/dL 1.03, 1.02-1.04 <0.001 SBP, mmHg 0.97, 0.96-0.98 <0.001 0.99, 0.97-1.00 0.015 DBP, mmHg 0.95, 0.94-0.97 <0.001 Lactate, mmol/L 1.24, 1.13-1.36 <0.001 1.10, 1.01-1.20 0.023 SAPS-II 1.09, 1.07-1.11 <0.001 1.04, 1.02-1.06 <0.001